Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.083581 0.099212 0.116739 0.137820 0.162455 0.190301 0.224131
2025-03-02 0.057477 0.076859 0.101083 0.133451 0.175422 0.227848 0.298127
2025-03-09 0.043899 0.064543 0.092652 0.133430 0.190736 0.267998 0.379580
2025-03-16 0.034462 0.054913 0.084842 0.131353 0.201214 0.301494 0.455380
2025-03-23 0.029082 0.049681 0.081760 0.134631 0.218657 0.345807 0.551086
2025-03-30 0.024111 0.043915 0.076564 0.133332 0.228278 0.378923 0.633422
2025-04-06 0.019938 0.038560 0.070931 0.130074 0.233750 0.405537 0.707988
2025-04-13 0.016486 0.033750 0.065300 0.125691 0.236303 0.427111 0.776126
2025-04-20 0.014611 0.031494 0.063774 0.128200 0.250917 0.470323 0.885446
2025-04-27 0.012871 0.029153 0.061665 0.129191 0.262691 0.509590 0.991841
2025-05-04 0.011372 0.027016 0.059575 0.129822 0.273692 0.548411 1.101330
2025-05-11 0.010202 0.025362 0.058181 0.131579 0.286978 0.592737 1.225604
2025-05-18 0.009408 0.024450 0.058287 0.136647 0.307963 0.654902 1.392560
2025-05-25 0.008030 0.021894 0.054390 0.132504 0.309221 0.678215 1.485380
2025-06-01 0.007132 0.020335 0.052496 0.132528 0.319402 0.720757 1.621929
2025-06-08 0.006238 0.018601 0.049889 0.130474 0.324611 0.753299 1.740833
2025-06-15 0.005743 0.017839 0.049532 0.133734 0.342371 0.814697 1.927992
2025-06-22 0.005090 0.016494 0.047469 0.132443 0.349175 0.852509 2.067028
2025-06-29 0.004440 0.015018 0.044809 0.129206 0.350780 0.878610 2.182252
2025-07-06 0.003836 0.013546 0.041901 0.124851 0.348974 0.896493 2.280241
2025-07-13 0.003547 0.013010 0.041533 0.127344 0.365066 0.958632 2.488915
2025-07-20 0.003239 0.012342 0.040672 0.128329 0.377305 1.012647 2.683375
2025-07-27 0.002954 0.011687 0.039736 0.128956 0.388657 1.065627 2.880539